What effect might terrorist atrocities in Paris have on UK’s EU referendum?

ParisMatt Goodwin, Senior Fellow at The UK in a Changing Europe, examines the impact that terrorist attacks can have on the political landscape of those countries concerned. In this post, he examines the potential impact the recent attacks and security threats in Paris and Brussels might have on voters in the UK.

It has been a depressing week. The terrorist atrocities in Paris have renewed public fears over terrorism and security and dominated headlines. Terrorism and security threats are likely to remain high on the agenda. What effect might this have on Britain’s EU referendum? Continue reading

Scotland might keep the UK in Europe

Saltire_Union JackKirsty Hughes, writer and commentator on European and international politics, asks whether Scottish ‘yes’ voters could deprive the eurosceptics of victory in the EU referendum.

Much of the debate on how Scotland will vote in the EU referendum has focused on whether a Scottish ‘yes’ and an English ‘no’ might trigger a second independence referendum – with England leaving the EU and Scotland staying in as a new member state.

But there is another possibility – which could create its own constitutional outcry amongst the sceptics. And that is that a Scottish ‘yes’ could turn an English ‘no’ into a UK ‘yes’. This is not as unlikely as it may seem – a strong Scottish ‘yes’ and a narrow English ‘no’ would see Scottish voters saving the UK’s four decade long participation in the EU. Continue reading